New Orleans
W-L: (15-18) PR = 95.1319Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 78-74 1110 H LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 58-93 1114 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 85-63 1118 H Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 79-90 1121 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 76-85 1124 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 78-81 1126 H Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 50-82 1203 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 70-86 1206 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 76-85 1208 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 84-83 1213 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 57-99 1229 A UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 85-69 1231 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 69-83 103 H Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 68-74 105 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 83-73 110 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 77-90 112 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 79-76 117 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 79-84 119 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 89-76 124 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 63-82 127 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 80-62 131 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 75-64 202 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 94-85 207 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 76-95 209 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 84-78 214 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 60-61 216 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 78-64 221 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 77-71 223 A SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 77-73 228 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 63-66 302 H Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 78-82 308 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 73-60 309 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 61-74
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A TCU 78-74 4 -3 ++ 4.00
1110 H LSU 58-93 -35 -2 -0.31
1114 A Tulane 85-63 22 -1 + 2.84
1118 H Pepperdine 79-90 -11 1 - -2.56
1121 H Fresno St 76-85 -9 -1 -1.40
1124 H Miss St 78-81 -3 -2 -0.44
1126 H Texas Tech 50-82 -32 -3 0.00
1203 H Memphis 70-86 -16 -1 -1.22
1206 H Houston Chr 76-85 -9 1 - -2.92
1208 A Incarn Word 84-83 1 1 0.27
1213 H Houston 57-99 -42 -4 0.00
1229 A UTRGV 85-69 16 0 + 2.21
1231 H TX A&M-CC 69-83 -14 0 -1.90
103 H Nowestern St 68-74 -6 1 - -3.08
105 A Ea Texas A&M 83-73 10 1 1.11
110 H Nicholls 77-90 -13 0 - -2.36
112 A Soea LA 79-76 3 1 1.02
117 H SF Austin 79-84 -5 -1 -0.83
119 A Lamar 89-76 13 1 1.33
124 H McNeese 63-82 -19 -2 -0.35
127 A Nicholls 80-62 18 0 1.66
131 A Nowestern St 75-64 11 1 0.94
202 A Ea Texas A&M 94-85 9 1 1.11
207 H UTRGV 76-95 -19 0 -1.81
209 A TX A&M-CC 84-78 6 0 + 2.12
214 H Houston Chr 60-61 -1 1 -1.92
216 A Incarn Word 78-64 14 1 1.27
221 A Lamar 77-71 6 1 1.33
223 A SF Austin 77-73 4 -1 + 3.19
228 H McNeese 63-66 -3 -2 -0.35
302 H Soea LA 78-82 -4 1 - -3.00
308 A Houston Chr 73-60 13 1 1.10
309 H TX A&M-CC 61-74 -13 0 -1.90
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1118 H Pepperdine 79-90 -11 1 - -2.56 1206 H Houston Chr 76-85 -9 1 - -2.92 103 H Nowestern St 68-74 -6 1 - -3.08 110 H Nicholls 77-90 -13 0 - -2.36 302 H Soea LA 78-82 -4 1 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A TCU 78-74 4 -3 ++ 4.00 1114 A Tulane 85-63 22 -1 + 2.84 1229 A UTRGV 85-69 16 0 + 2.21 209 A TX A&M-CC 84-78 6 0 + 2.12 223 A SF Austin 77-73 4 -1 + 3.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A TCU (24-12, 98.0) 78-74 -1.89 5.58 0.01 1.00 11.19
3 H LSU (15-17, 96.8) 58-93 -3.07 4.41 -0.01 1.00 -1.54
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 85-63 -3.94 3.53 0.01 1.00 7.09
3 H Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 79-90 -5.32 2.16 -0.01 1.00 -2.67
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 76-85 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.00 -2.09
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 78-81 -3.20 4.28 -0.01 1.00 -1.60
3 H Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 50-82 -1.65 5.83 -0.01 1.00 -0.83
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 70-86 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.00 -1.99
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 76-85 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.00 -2.85
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 84-83 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.00 3.95
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 57-99 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 1.00 -0.52
3 A UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 85-69 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.00 5.84
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 69-83 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.00 -2.33
3 H Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 68-74 -5.84 1.64 -0.01 1.00 -2.93
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 83-73 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.00 3.63
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 77-90 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.00 -2.56
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 79-76 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.00 3.46
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 79-84 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.00 -1.80
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 89-76 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.00 4.07
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 63-82 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.00 -1.56
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 80-62 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.00 4.74
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 75-64 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.00 3.29
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 94-85 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.00 3.63
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 76-95 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.00 -2.29
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 84-78 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.00 5.66
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 60-61 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.00 -2.85
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 78-64 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.00 3.95
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 77-71 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.00 4.07
3 A SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 77-73 -3.58 3.89 0.01 1.00 7.81
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 63-66 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.00 -1.56
3 H Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 78-82 -5.76 1.72 -0.01 1.00 -2.88
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 73-60 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.00 3.61
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 61-74 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.00 -2.33
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38.81
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winning pts = 75.9976 losing points = -37.1858
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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